Charts showing acceleration in GHGs and human impact since the industrial revolution

 

About 3 years ago, I read a book called Drawdown about the most promising available climate solutions. It was refreshing, because at the time there wasn’t much discussion about how we could serious start addressing climate change at scale. I recently discovered that the book is now an entire project, Project Drawdown, which includes a free “Climate Solutions 101” course. i just completed the first unit, and one point it raised that really blew my mind is how much we’ve done just since 1950. I mean, you could have been born in/around 1950! Your parents or your grandparents almost certainly were. That’s not a long time ago! That’s not a time when we picture people living very differently than we live today. But I guess it was. As the charts plainly show, we have radically altered the absolute fundamentals of our lives – our air, water and soil – just since 1950. 

A graphic from NASA shows the stark increase in CO2 in the same period. For 800,000 years before 1950, CO2 in our atmosphere fluctuated from around 200 parts per million during ice ages to around 280 parts per million in warmer time periods. In 1950, it got to around 300 parts per million. And then it just skyrocketed. It’s literally a straight line up, and in 2013 it surpassed 400 parts per million. Per the NOAA, CO2 levels in the atmosphere in June 2021 were about 419 parts per million. Mull on that one.  

But why? Why are we so addicted to the growth, the striving, the production, and the convenience of our modern times?

Key required behavioral changes

The International Energy Agency published a truly fabulous report: IEA (2021), Net Zero by 2050, IEA, Paris https://www.iea.org/reports/net-zero-by-2050

Not surprisingly, it highlighted how behavioral change is an essential part of achieving meaningful reductions in emissions. This is consistent with work by other inspiration organizations, such as Project Drawdown. But I loved how they presented it, and the fact that it was them – the IEA, an organization born of the 1973-74 oil crisis to “ensure the security of oil supplies”.

It’s credible and actionable information, and here’s what it says:

  • We need to not fly any more than we did in 2019.  Thanks to Covid, this feels very realistic to me, if we can get the message through. And, I don’t know, but maybe the ultra rich who are creating space tourism should maybe first ensure we can stay on this planet, before burning fuel trying to escape it for a day or two. 
  • We need to drive as little as possible – walk, bike, take public transit.
  • When we drive, we need to do it better: in an electric vehicle and in efficient ways (stick to the 100km/hr speed limit, for example)
  • We need to buy energy efficient appliances, such as heat pumps and “EnergyStar” (or equivalent outside the US) appliances
  • We need to use our appliances in efficient ways – that means, LED bulbs, tap cold clothing machine washing, air drying clothes, setting water temperatures to no greater than 120 degrees F 
  • We need to keep our appliances well maintained

This all seems doable to me! to me, the hardest part in these behavioural things is just doing it. For example, maintaining appliances seems easy. But the other day my shower tap started leaking (just a bit, but still). It took me about a week to try my hand at fixing it, and another week to call the super to fix it after I realized I couldn’t do it. it is hard for me to go even slightly out of my way to do what I know is right. But I am slowly chipping away at old habits, and who knows, maybe I’ll one day feel even slightly competent and performing basic maintenance myself. Here’s hoping!

Two recent events have once again gotten me thinking about that tension between what I can do alone versus what we all must together agree. 

First, my landlord needed to replace the broken fridge in my apartment. I didn’t have a say, and when the hulking fridge arrived I looked up its serial number and discovered that it is not EnergyStar certified (not the landlord’s problem, of course). Try as I might, though, I cannot figure out what refrigerant this new fridge uses. Why is that information not mandatory? And why is it an option to produce and sell refrigerators today that don’t meet basic energy and refrigerant management standards? Why did my landlord have anything but good options? They shouldn’t have.

Second, I went for a lovely run/walk today. It was great, but it also was among the detritus of yesterday’s July 4th festivities. Strewn across every open space and piled up beside every garbage can were the remains of picnics, barbecues, confetti, fireworks, balloons and the other remains of any self-respecting celebration. It was clear that no one really meant to leave a mess. In fact, most people must have been quite careful to clean up after themselves, since the bigger pieces of mess were mostly piled near overflowing garbage cans and what remained strewn everywhere were those little bits of things. 

And, again, I was left wondering: why is this even a real option? I guess some would argue that it’s a question of free choice. That it’s too restrictive of government (or anyone) to say that people must buy a certain kind of refrigerator or must not buy certain types of celebratory fare. But, I can’t really see the argument for that. None of us have the time or skills necessary to personally investigate every product we buy. Instead, I think we naturally tend to think that someone has imposed basic standards that allow us to trust in the basic integrity of the product. That’s why it’s so devastating when, for example, buildings fall down or products explode accidentally or sicken us. It’s because we thought there were minimum standards and they were clearly not met. So I don’t really see how this is different. I suppose some would argue that what I’m talking about goes beyond minimum safety standards, but, again, I can’t quite see it. Sure, it’s not usually immediately obvious who the victims of the litter are or when the effects will be felt, and we can’t trace any specific incident to any particular item of litter, but the overall effects of pollution are clear beyond any doubt. Must we allow some pollution some time? Yes, unfortunately, that seems inevitable. But why would we not stop it in these easy cases? And why isn’t it the obligation of the polluter to explain why their pollution is a type that we should allow, despite its obvious and serious harms to our societies?